簡(jiǎn)介：上海交通大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文新形勢(shì)下加工貿(mào)易對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響及發(fā)展對(duì)策姓名陳菡申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師黃國(guó)祥20060101ASTUDYOFTHEDEVELOPMENTCOUNTERMEASURESOFPROCESSINGTRADEITSIMPACTONCHINA’SECONOMYINTHENEWSITUATIONABSTRACTSINCETHESECONDWLDWARTHEPROCESSIONOFECONOMYGLOBALIZATIONHASBECOMEANIRRESISTIBLYTRENDESPECIALLYINTHELATEST20YEARSWITHTHEDEVELOPMENTOFINTERNATIONALDIVISIONOFLABINTHEINTERINDUSTRYPROCESSINGTRADEANIMPTANTMODEOFINTERNATIONALTRADEHASUNDERGONEADRASTICGROWTHPROCESSINGTRADEINITIATEDINCHINAIN1978GREWUPGRADUALLYTOTHEKEYROLEINTHEIMPTEXPTTRADEBY2004CHINA’SPROCESSINGTRADEACCOUNTEDF50OFTHETOTALVOLUMEOFIMPTEXPTTRADETHOUGHTHELASTTWODECADESHASWITNESSEDRAPIDDEVELOPMENTOFCHINA’SPROCESSINGTRADETHELABINTENSIVEINDUSTRYREMAINSTHEMAJITYSECTINTHEGENERALLAYOUTWHILETHETECHNOLOGYINTENSIVEINDUSTRYISSTILLMINITYCHINA’SPARTICIPATIONINWTOHASDEEPLYINFLUENCEDTHEDIRECTIONTHEGENERALLAYOUTOFTHEPROCESSINGTRADETHROUGHOUTTHEWLDTHEOPENNESSOF

簡(jiǎn)介：浙江工業(yè)大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文開(kāi)放經(jīng)濟(jì)條件下我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展及對(duì)策研究姓名葛丹申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師王治平陳春根20051201碩士學(xué)位論文開(kāi)放經(jīng)濟(jì)條件下我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展及對(duì)策研究分析，挖掘我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)潛力。最后，以上述定性分析和定量測(cè)算得出的結(jié)論為依據(jù)，對(duì)如何提高目前我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易的國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力進(jìn)行了探索和思考，提出了我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)對(duì)外開(kāi)放的應(yīng)對(duì)措施，以及提升我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的對(duì)策。關(guān)鍵詞服務(wù)貿(mào)易，比較優(yōu)勢(shì)，競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)，國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力

簡(jiǎn)介：國(guó)際經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)集團(tuán)化是當(dāng)前世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的重要發(fā)展趨勢(shì)之一，區(qū)域貿(mào)易安排RTA數(shù)量的增長(zhǎng)尤其引人注目。相比之下，東亞地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的進(jìn)展比較緩慢，不僅其形式的深化滯后于歐、美一體化，而且與本地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力的發(fā)展不相稱。2002年11月4日，朱镕基總理與東盟10國(guó)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人共同簽署了中國(guó)與東盟全面經(jīng)濟(jì)合作框架協(xié)議，標(biāo)志著中國(guó)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)CAFTA建設(shè)全面展開(kāi)。三年來(lái)的發(fā)展實(shí)踐證明，這是發(fā)展中國(guó)家間組成的最大的自由貿(mào)易區(qū)，也是中國(guó)與其他國(guó)家簽訂的第一個(gè)區(qū)域自由貿(mào)易安排，是中國(guó)與東盟關(guān)系史上的一個(gè)里程碑，它不僅推動(dòng)了東亞區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作，而且對(duì)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展正在產(chǎn)生著重要的影響。本文分析了中國(guó)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)構(gòu)建的現(xiàn)實(shí)基礎(chǔ)以及貿(mào)易效應(yīng)問(wèn)題，認(rèn)為中國(guó)與東盟的經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)有互補(bǔ)性的一面，但在更大程度上雙方的經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)為競(jìng)爭(zhēng)型的。中國(guó)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的建立有利于貿(mào)易創(chuàng)造效應(yīng)的發(fā)揮，從而有助于增加區(qū)域內(nèi)各成員國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)福利。但是，由于中國(guó)和東盟各國(guó)基本上都屬于發(fā)展中國(guó)家，相互投資能力有限，東盟各國(guó)貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)過(guò)度依賴外部市場(chǎng)，中國(guó)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的建設(shè)中也存在一定的障礙，建立中國(guó)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)不僅要消除關(guān)稅壁壘，擴(kuò)大相互間的投資，更重要的是要調(diào)整各國(guó)的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)，形成合理的區(qū)域內(nèi)分工體系。近年來(lái)，東亞區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作取得了很大成就，形成了包括東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)、“103”合作機(jī)制、“101”合作機(jī)制、中日韓自由貿(mào)易區(qū)以及區(qū)內(nèi)和區(qū)外的“11”合作機(jī)制。鑒于東亞合作機(jī)制的多層次性，中國(guó)在參與東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的過(guò)程中，要有層次、有重點(diǎn)地推進(jìn)東亞的經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的進(jìn)程，鑒此，研究中國(guó)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的合作內(nèi)容、合作機(jī)制、合作進(jìn)程意義重大，且可積極影響東亞、東南亞以及范圍更廣的其他區(qū)域合作。我國(guó)與東盟建成自由貿(mào)易區(qū)，繼而通過(guò)與日韓緊密的經(jīng)貿(mào)聯(lián)系，實(shí)現(xiàn)“103”這一合作機(jī)制，最終實(shí)現(xiàn)東亞共同體的目標(biāo)。

簡(jiǎn)介：江蘇大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文中國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)研究姓名何邦勝申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師查奇芬20050401江蘇火學(xué)碩士學(xué)位畢業(yè)論文A籽STRACTSINCEIMPLEMENTEDTHEPOLICYOFREFORMATIONANDOPENNESSIN1978，CHINAHASEXPERIENCEDARAPIDGROWTHINFOREIGNTRADEANDECONOMYTHEEXPORTOFCHINAINCREASESCONTINUOUSLYANDTHEDEMANDOFCHINESEEXPONCOMMODITIESANDSERVICEINTHEINTERNATIONALMARKETSHASALREADYBEENANIMPORTANTCOMPONENTOFCHINA’SMACROECONOMYDEMAND。FOLLOWINGTHEIMPROVEMENTOFECONOMICINCOME，THEPURCHASINGPOWEROFTHEURBANANDRURALRESIDENTSOFOURCOUNTRYISSTRENGTHENEDCONSTANTLYANDDEMANDOFGOODSANDSERVICETHATFOREIGNCOUNTRIESPRODUCECONSTANTLYINCREASEDHASALSOBEENTHEIMPORTANTDECISIVEFACTOROFINTERNATIONALMARKETDEMANDOFALOTOFGOODSANDSERVICE，F(xiàn)OROVER20YEARS，CHINA’SSHAREINWORLDTRADEHASRISENFROMLESSTHAN1％TO57％，ANDTHETOTALVOLUMEOFIMPORTSANDEXPORTSOFCHINAREACHED851200MILLIONDOLLARSIN2003THEDEVELOPMENTOFFOREIGNTRADENOTONLYACCELERATESTHEECONOMICGROWTHOFCHINABUTALSOCONTRIBUTESTOTHETRANSITIONOFWAYSOFCHINA4SECONOMICGROW|THSTUDYINGTHERELATIONOFCHINA’SFOREIGNTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTH，HELPSMAKETHEDEVELOPMENTSTRATEGYOFFOREIGNTRADEWHICHACCORDSWITHCHINA，ALSOHELPSMAKEFOREIGNTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHBENIGNANDINTERDYNAMICUNDERTHENEWSITUATIONAPPLYINGQUALITATIVEANDQUANTITATIVEANALYSIS，THISPAPERMAKESASYSTEMATICSTUDYONTHERELATIONOFFOREIGNWADEANDECONOMICGROWTHOFOURCOUNTRYFIRST，THISPAPERSTARTS畦氌THEMAINTHEORIESOFFOREIGNTRADEANDECONOMICGROWCHWHICHSTATESTHERELATIONBETWEENFOREIGNTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHTHEORETICALLYFOREIGNTRADENOTONLYPROMOTESECONOMICGROWTH，BUTALSOPROMOTESTHETRANSITIONOFWAYSOFECONOMICGROWTHTHROUGHTHETECHNOLOGICALPROGRESS；THENITISTHEOVERVIEWOFCHINA’SFOREIGNTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTH，CHINASFOREIGNTRADESTRUCTUREINCLUDINGGOODSSTRUCTURE，STYLESTRUCTUREANDMARKETSTRUCTUREOFFOREIGNTRADEMAINLYMIDTHEREFORMOFFOREIGNTRADESYSTEMSINCETHEREFORMANDOPENINGUPOFOURCOUNTRYONTHEBASISOFTHESE，ITCARRIESONQUANTITATIVEANALYSISOFTHERELATIONOFCHINA’SFOREIGNTRADEANDECONOMICGROWTHUSECOINTERGRATIONTESTTOANALYZETHERELATIONOFCHINESEIMPORTEXPORTSOFGOODSANDGDPGROWTHRATEOFIMPORTSOREXPORTSOFTHEGOODSANDGROWTHRATEOFGDPINTRAINDUSTRYTRADEANDGDRCHINAPARTICIPATESINTHECOMPETITIONSITUATIONOFINTERNATIONALTRADETHROUGHTHECHINESEGOODSANDSERVICETRADECOMPETITIONINDEXINLL

簡(jiǎn)介：分類號(hào)?一密級(jí)單位代碼一衛(wèi)鯉L學(xué)號(hào)墊幽型西北大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文題目撞苤縫貿(mào)易壁壘經(jīng)渣盆盤指導(dǎo)老師圭莖專業(yè)技術(shù)職務(wù)燃學(xué)科專業(yè)叢鲞絲盜堂答辯日期至QQ量生曼旦壁旦學(xué)位授予日期二OO六年四月我國(guó)政府、行、IK協(xié)會(huì)和企業(yè)應(yīng)對(duì)技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的政策建議。關(guān)鍵詞技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘世界貿(mào)易組織貿(mào)易保護(hù)發(fā)達(dá)圈家標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化可持續(xù)發(fā)展

簡(jiǎn)介：重慶大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文中國(guó)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)研究基于可計(jì)算一般均衡模型姓名胡學(xué)偉申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)及管理指導(dǎo)教師邵兵家20050401重慶大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文英文摘要IIABSTRACTCHINAASEANAGREEDTOBUILDCHINAASEANFREETRADEAREACAFTABY2010IN2001MOSTCAFTAMEMBERSAREDEVELOPINGCOUNTRYALLCOUNTRIESOFASEANARESMALLITCANTFECASTWHETHERTHISKINDOFFTATHATCONSTRUCTEDBYDEVELOPINGSMALLCOUNTRIESCANBRINGWELLECONOMICEFFECTSBASEDONOTHEREXAMPLESTHEREFEMANYINVESTIGATSARETRYINGTOANALYZECAFTA’SEFFECTSMOSTOFTHEIRSTUDIESAREQUALITATIVEHOWEVERLITTLEAREQUANTITATIVEINTHISBACKGROUNDTHISPAPERATTEMPTTOANALYSESTHEECONOMICEFFECTSOFCAFTABYACOMPUTABLEGENERALEQUILIBRIUMCGEMODELTHISPAPERFIRSTINTRODUCESTHETHEIESDEMONSTRATIONMODELSTHATAREUSEDTOANALYSESFREETRADEAREASUMMARIZESTHERESEARCHESONECONOMICEFFECTSOFCHINAASEANFREETRADEAREATHENTHISPAPERINTRODUCECGEMODELINCLUDESITSTHEETICSTRUCTURECLOSURETHEMETHODSTOCALCULATECGEMODELCGEMODELTURNSGENERALEQUILIBRIUMTHEYINTOAMATHEMATICSMODELTHATCANBECOMPUTEDITBEWRITESMAINBODYOFECONOMICSYSTEMTHEEQUILIBRIUMBETWEENSUPPLYDEMISACHIEVEDVIAADJUSTINGTHEPRICEQUANTITYOFCOMMODITYFACTATLASTTHISPAPERESTHEGLOBALTRADEANALYSISPROJECTGTAPMODELTOSIMULATETHECAFTA’SEFFECTSTHEDATATOBEUSEDINSIMULATIONCOMESFROMGTAPDATABASE60THISPAPERDIVIDESTHEWDINTOEIGHTAREASAGGREGATEDTHEINDUSTRYINTOTHREEKINDSTHESEAREASINDUSTRYS’SDATAISAGGREGATEDBYGTAPAGGSOFTWAREBYRUNGTAPSOFTWAREWHICHISDESIGNEDTOCALCULATEGTAPMODELTHERESULTSAREEDUCEDTHECONCLUSIONSWHICHBASEDONTHERESULTSSHOWTHATCAFTAWILLBRINGGREATEFFECTSTOTHEMEMBERSINMANYFIELDSSUCHASGDPWELFARELEVELTHESCALEOFIMPTEXPTETCWILLBEIMPROVEDTHISPAPERALSOANALYZESTHEEFFECTSTHATCAFTABRINGSTOCHINABRIEFLYPUTSFWARDCOUNTERMEASURESADVICESKEYWDSCHINAASEANFTACOMPUTABLEGENERALEQUILIBRIUMMODELGLOBALTRADEANALYSISPROJECTECONOMICEFFECTS

簡(jiǎn)介：重慶大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文我國(guó)出口貿(mào)易對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)促進(jìn)作用的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制研究姓名童偉偉申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師周慶行20050501重慶大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文英文摘要IIABSTRACTIT’SDEMONSTRATEDBYMANYCOUNTRIES’ECONOMICSDEVELOPINGPROCESSTHATTHEEXPTPLAYSANIMPTANTROLEINONECOUNTRY’SECONOMICSDEVELOPMENTMANYECONOMISTSDUETOTHEIMPTANCEOFEXPTMADEALOTOFTHEETICALEMPIRICALRESEARCHONTHERELATIONBETWEENECONOMICSDEVELOPMENTEXPTTHEANALYSISONTHOSEEMPIRICALRESEARCHESABOUTTHERELATIONBETWEENCHINA’SECONOMICSDEVELOPMENTEXPTINDICATESTHATTHECONCLUSIONVARIESWITHTHERESEARCHINGMETHODSTHISPHENOMENONCAUSESTHATTHERESEARCHCAN’TBECONFINEDTOPURSUINGTHESTATISTICALREGULARITYMAKESITNECESSARYTOANALYSISTHEMECHANICOFTHEEXPT’SPROMOTIONTOECONOMICSDEVELOPMENTTHATISTOSAYHOWDOESEXPTAFFECTECONOMICSGROWTHINDERTOEXPLAINTHEMECHANICABOVETHISARTICLEANALYSESVARIOUSTHEIESOFECONOMICSGROWTHTHEEXISTEDRESEARCHINGCONSEQUENCESABOUTTHEDECISIVEFACTOFCHINA’SECONOMICSGROWTHAFFIRMSSOMEMAINFACTSWHICHISDECISIVETOCHINA’SECONOMICSGROWTHINRECENT20YEARSSUCHASCAPITALLABTECHNOLOGYTHEUPGRADINGOFINDUSTRIALSTRUCTURESYSTEMREFMINGTHENTHISARTICLECLARIFIESTHEFUNCTIONMECHANICSOFTHEEXPT’SCONTRIBUTIONTOTHOSEDECISIVEFACTSOFECONOMICSGROWTHSUCHASTHEEFFECTOFCOMPETITIONTHEEFFECTOFSCALEECONOMICSTHEEFFECTOFINDUSTRYCRELATIONSOONTHEFURTHEREMPIRICALANALYSISONTHEAFFECTINGSTRENGTHENSINDICATESTHATEXPT’SCONTRIBUTIONTOTHEINCREASINGINEMPLOYMENTOFOURCOUNTRYISTHEGREATESTTHISMECHANISMISQUITEREMARKABLEHOWEVEREXPT’SCONTRIBUTIONTOTHECAPITALACCUMULATIONTHEUPGRADINGOFINDUSTRIALSTRUCTUREISMUCHSMALLERTHECHANGINGOFSOMESTRUCTURALFACTOFEXPTSUCHASTHEEXPTCOMMODITIESSTRUCTURETHESTRUCTUREOFTHEFMOFEXPTPROCESSINGTRADEWILLALSOENHANCEWEAKENCHINA’SEXPT’SCONTRIBUTIONTOECONOMICSGROWTHONTHEBASISOFTHEABOVETHEETICALEMPIRICALANALYSISABOUTTHEMECHANICSOFTHEEXPT’SCONTRIBUTIONTOECONOMICSGROWTHTHEARTICLERAISESSOMESUGGESTIONTOIMPROVECHINA’SEXPT’SCONTRIBUTIONTOECONOMICSGROWTHFROMTHEFOLLOWINGFOURASPECTSKEEPINGCHINA’SADVANTAGEONLABRESOURCESINCREASINGTHETOTALAMOUNTOFEXPTOPTIMIZINGEXPTCOMMODITIESSTRUCTUREIMPROVINGTHELEVELOFEXPT

簡(jiǎn)介：內(nèi)蒙古師范大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文內(nèi)蒙古邊境貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展研究以滿洲里和二連浩特為例姓名冠瓊申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)中國(guó)少數(shù)民族經(jīng)濟(jì)指導(dǎo)教師包玉山20070605FRONTIERTRADEDEVELOPMENTHASPROMOTEDTHEECONOMICDEVELOPMENTOFBORDERAREASEFFECTIVELY”MINORITYANAREAINHABITEDBYMINORITYETHNICGROUPS、BORDERBORDERREGION、POVERTYOESSDEVELOPEDAREAS，WEAKAFRAGILEECOLOGICALENVIRONMENOANDTHERICHNATURALRESOURCESENRICHMENT、MORECULTURALDIVERSITY，”WHICHFEATURESNOTONLYMAKETHESERE百OILSOUTOF。POVERTY，BUTALSOTHENATIONALECONOMYHASTAKENONARAPIDGROWTHANDLEADTHEECONOMICANDSOCIALDEVELOPMENTINBORDERAREASSINCE20THCENTURY80AGES，INSOMEPORTCITY，F(xiàn)RONTIERTRADEHASLEDTOTHEDEVELOPMENTOFRELATEDINDUSTRIESANDOPTIMIZEDTHEALLOCATIONOFRESOURCESANDPROMOTEDECONOMICRESTRUCTURINGFURTHERMOREITIMPROVEDINFRASTRUCTURE，DEVELOPEDTHEEMERGENCEANDRAPIDDEVELOPMENTOFEXPORTPROCESSINGINDUSTRYALLOFTHESEHAVECREATEDASTABLECONDITIONOFSUSTAINEDECONOMICDEVELOPMENTINBORDERAREASINNERMONGOLIANFRONTIERTRADEISNOEXCEPTIONITLEDBORDERAREASWHERESUBSTANTIALINCREASEOFLOCALFINANCEINCOMEINCREASEDYEARAFTERYEARANDGREATCHANGESHAVETAKENPLACEINMANYBORDERTOWNS，WHICHBECOMETHEREGION’SLEADINGECONOMICBODYAFFECTINGTHEENTIREREGIONMANZHOULI，ERENHOTISTHEINNERMONGOLIANLEVELPORTCITY，ALSOISIMPORTANTCHANNELINWHICHOURCOUNTRYCONNECTWITHRUSSIAANDMONGOLIA，MAYBECALLEDTHEEUROPEANDASIACONTINENTALBRIDGETHESEFRONTIERCITYISEXTREMELYIMPORTANTFOROURCOUNTRY’SWHOLEECONOMYFRONTIERTRADEHASENHANCEDTHESCALEANDLEVELOFTHEOPENINGUP，INCREASINGEMPLOYMENTOPPORTUNITIESANDGRADUALLYACCELERATEDTHEPACEOFESCAPINGFROMTHEPOVERTYSOTHEPARTY’SSTRATEGYTHAT”DEVELOPINGTHEFRONTIERAREAANDENRICHINGTHE

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簡(jiǎn)介：山東大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)國(guó)際貿(mào)易收支與人民幣實(shí)際有效匯率的相關(guān)性分析姓名徐光耀申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際經(jīng)濟(jì)與貿(mào)易指導(dǎo)教師梁樹(shù)新20070408山東大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文中文摘要環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)狹義上是指京津冀、遼東半島和山東半島為主的濱海經(jīng)濟(jì)帶，同時(shí)可延伸輻射到山西及內(nèi)蒙古中、東部地區(qū)，整個(gè)范圍占據(jù)我國(guó)國(guó)土面積的1331％和人口的222％。在這一地區(qū)5800公里的海岸線上，有近20多個(gè)大中城市遙相呼應(yīng)，數(shù)千家大中型企業(yè)虎距龍盤，60多個(gè)大小港口星羅棋布，是中國(guó)乃至世界上城市群、工業(yè)群、港口群最為密集的地區(qū)之一。繼珠江三角洲、長(zhǎng)江三角洲快速崛起之后，環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)有可能成為我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)第三增長(zhǎng)極。許多中外專家學(xué)者也認(rèn)為環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)尤其是京津冀地區(qū)，有望在2010年左右成為中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)板塊中乃至東北亞地區(qū)中極具影響力的經(jīng)濟(jì)隆起帶。環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)蘊(yùn)藏的巨大潛力，奧運(yùn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的拉動(dòng)效應(yīng)將對(duì)國(guó)際國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)要素產(chǎn)生極強(qiáng)吸引力，各要素向這一地區(qū)聚集速度會(huì)不斷加快1。黨的十六大報(bào)告指出，“在優(yōu)化結(jié)構(gòu)和提高效益的基礎(chǔ)上，國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值到2020年力爭(zhēng)比2000年翻兩番，綜合國(guó)力和國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力明顯增強(qiáng)”，也就是說(shuō)，到2020年我國(guó)GDP要突破4萬(wàn)億美元大關(guān)。作為拉動(dòng)我國(guó)6DP增長(zhǎng)的三駕馬車之一的對(duì)外貿(mào)易，目前出口貿(mào)易對(duì)6DP增長(zhǎng)的拉動(dòng)為2％25％，進(jìn)口貿(mào)易對(duì)GDP增長(zhǎng)的拉動(dòng)為3％一5％。要保持與國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)總體發(fā)展水平相一致，并繼續(xù)發(fā)揮其積極的拉動(dòng)作用，我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易必須保持年均72％的增長(zhǎng)速度2。但是從現(xiàn)實(shí)來(lái)看要完成這一目標(biāo)，還是有一定困難的。而環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)作為繼珠江三角洲、長(zhǎng)江三角洲之后的潛在的我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)第三增長(zhǎng)極必將對(duì)此產(chǎn)生引擎性的帶動(dòng)作用，并且已經(jīng)引起了國(guó)內(nèi)外各界的廣泛關(guān)注。環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)一直以來(lái)都是我國(guó)較大的對(duì)外貿(mào)易地區(qū)，2005年該區(qū)域進(jìn)口貿(mào)易總額31293億美元，占全國(guó)進(jìn)口總額15886億美元的197％，外向性程度高，三省兩市對(duì)外貿(mào)易依存度均在30％以上。因此匯率變動(dòng)對(duì)環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)貿(mào)易發(fā)展的影響比起那些中西部地區(qū)更加明顯。我國(guó)已正式成為WTO的一員，經(jīng)濟(jì)開(kāi)放程度將進(jìn)一步提高，對(duì)外貿(mào)易總額快速增長(zhǎng)，人民幣匯率問(wèn)題越來(lái)越受到關(guān)注。特別是近幾年，人民幣面臨著巨大的1才利民；強(qiáng)力推進(jìn)環(huán)渤海開(kāi)放型經(jīng)濟(jì)隆起帶快速崛起，經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇，2004年第15期，第5頁(yè)。2綦建紅，王建一個(gè)培育我國(guó)外貿(mào)新增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn)的設(shè)想發(fā)展環(huán)渤海區(qū)域外貿(mào)城市群，國(guó)際經(jīng)貿(mào)探索2003年第4期，第76頁(yè)

簡(jiǎn)介：浙江大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文中國(guó)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的理論和實(shí)證分析姓名朱春蘭申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別碩士專業(yè)國(guó)際貿(mào)易指導(dǎo)教師嚴(yán)建苗20060501浙江大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文中國(guó)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的理論和實(shí)證分析ABSTRACTWITHTHEDEVELOPMENTOFCHINA’SECONOMY,THEEXPORTTRADEANDIMPORTTRADEAREBOTHSTRONGLYEXPANDING．ESPECIALLYINTHERECENTYEARS，THEFACTSOFTHERAPIDLYINCREASEINTHESCALEOFTHEIMPORTTRADE，THEGREATSPEEDOFIMPORTTRADECOMPAREDTOTHEEXPORTTRADE，ANDTHEGREATDEPENDENCEOILIMPORTTRADE，MEANTHATTHEIMPORTTRADEPLAYSAMOREANDMOREROLEONTHEECONOMICGROWTH．SOTHISPAPERUSESTHETHEORETICALANDEMPIRICALANALYSISTOSTUDYTHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENTHEIMPORTTRADEANDCHINA’SECONOMICGROWTH．FIRST，THEPAPERANALYZESTHERELATIONSHIPBETWEENIMPORTTRADEANDCHINA’SECONOMICGROWTHFROMTHEGENERALPOINTUSINGTHEMETHODSOFCO～I(xiàn)NTEGRATIONANALYSISANDCAUSAFITYTEST．THECONCLUSIONSACHIEVEDALETHATTHEREISACAUSALRELATIONSHIPBETWEENTHEIMPORTFADEANDECONOMICGROWTHWHICHIMPORTGROWTHCANLEADINECONOMICGROWTH,BUTTHEREVERSECANNOTCOMEINTOEXISTENCEANDTHATIMPORTTRADEHASPROMOTEDTHEGROWTHOFECONOMYINBOTHTHESHORTTERMANDLONGTERM．SECOND，THEPAPERANALYZESTHERELATIONSHIPFROMTHESTMCTUREPOINT，WITHTHECONCLUSIONSTHATTHEINCREASEOFTOTALFACTORPRODUCTIVITYTIP、HASAPOSITIVEEFFECTONECONOMICGROWTH，ANDDIFFERENTKINDSOFGOODSIMPOSINGMAKEDIFFERENTCONTRIBUTIONSTOTOTALFACTORPRODUCTIVITY．THEIMPORTOFPRIMARYGOODSCAN’TINCREASETHETFPWHILENONEDIBLE