中國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備快速增長(zhǎng)的原因分析

1、中國(guó)外中國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備匯儲(chǔ)備快速增快速增長(zhǎng)的原因分析的原因分析摘要：我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備快速增長(zhǎng)是我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展的必然結(jié)果，對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展也起到重要的保障作用，但外匯儲(chǔ)備的過(guò)快速增長(zhǎng)也給我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)造成了一些負(fù)面影響。本文從外匯儲(chǔ)備的相關(guān)概念與理論入手，在分析我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上，總結(jié)出了我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備目前存在的問(wèn)題：速度過(guò)快，規(guī)模過(guò)大。并分析了造成我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備過(guò)快增長(zhǎng)的具體原因，以及外匯儲(chǔ)備過(guò)快增長(zhǎng)給我國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展帶來(lái)的有利于不利影響。最后本文

2、提出了實(shí)現(xiàn)我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備適度增長(zhǎng)的建議與對(duì)策：適度放緩經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)速度；降低經(jīng)常項(xiàng)目順差；降低資本和金融項(xiàng)目順差；改變緊盯美元的匯率制度。希望本文的研究對(duì)于我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備適度增長(zhǎng)有一定的借鑒意義。關(guān)鍵詞：外匯儲(chǔ)備過(guò)快增長(zhǎng)負(fù)面影響II目錄摘要...........................................................................IABSTRACT....................

3、..............................................II1外匯儲(chǔ)備的理論基礎(chǔ)............................................................11.1外匯儲(chǔ)備相關(guān)概念界定......................................................11.2外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模理論......................

4、....................................11.2.1成本收益理論..........................................................11.2.2儲(chǔ)備需求函數(shù)..........................................................11.2.3比例分析法.................................

5、...........................22我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備的現(xiàn)狀與存在的問(wèn)題................................................32.1我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備現(xiàn)狀..........................................................32.2我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備增長(zhǎng)中存在的問(wèn)題........................................

6、......42.2.1我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模過(guò)大..................................................42.2.2我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備增長(zhǎng)過(guò)快..................................................53.1經(jīng)常項(xiàng)目和資本與金融項(xiàng)目的雙順差..........................................63.2國(guó)內(nèi)儲(chǔ)蓄和投資的失衡......

7、................................................63.3國(guó)際金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)實(shí)力的增強(qiáng)，外匯儲(chǔ)備量亦日趨龐大..............................73.4我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備的增長(zhǎng)特點(diǎn)....................................................73.5熱錢和外商直接投資....................................

8、....................84我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備過(guò)快增長(zhǎng)的利弊分析................................................94.1外匯儲(chǔ)備增長(zhǎng)的正面影響....................................................94.1.1有利于提高我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)地位................................................94.

9、1.2有利于我國(guó)防范外部金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)............................................94.1.3有利于弱化貨幣錯(cuò)配的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)..............................................94.1.4有利于人民幣匯率制度的改革...........................................104.2外匯儲(chǔ)備過(guò)快增長(zhǎng)的負(fù)面影響................

10、...............................104.2.1影響貨幣政策的獨(dú)立性與有效性.........................................104.2.2持有外匯儲(chǔ)備的機(jī)會(huì)成本巨大...........................................114.2.3加大人民幣升值壓力................................................

11、...115實(shí)現(xiàn)我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備適度發(fā)展的對(duì)策與建議.........................................125.1適度放緩經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)速度.....................................................125.2降低經(jīng)常項(xiàng)目順差.........................................................125.3合理外匯儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模，建立規(guī)